Swansea City A.F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Swansea City A.F.C.41%
- Swansea City A.F.C.
- Draw
- Birmingham City F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Swansea City A.F.C. or draw71%
- Draw or Birmingham City F.C.59%
- Swansea City A.F.C. or Birmingham City F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.543%
- Under 2.557%
Both teams to score
- Swansea City A.F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
- Birmingham City F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Swansea City A.F.C., rating it at 41.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Swansea City A.F.C. won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 108 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Swansea City A.F.C.: WWWWL
Birmingham City F.C.: WWDWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 108 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Swansea City A.F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Swansea City A.F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Birmingham City F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Swansea City A.F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Swansea City A.F.C. (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Swansea City A.F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Swansea City A.F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.