Aalesunds FKvs
IK StartAalesunds FK vs IK Start Prediction, H2H & Form
EliteserienFri, 04 Sep 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aalesunds FK43%
- Aalesunds FK 43%
- Draw 23%
- IK Start 34%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Aalesunds FK, rating it at 43.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Aalesunds FK did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Aalesunds FK's last 5 produced 36 goals — 7.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. IK Start's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Aalesunds FK's games are very high-scoring at 7.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Aalesunds FK: LWDDL
IK Start: WWLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | IK Start vs Aalesunds FK | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aalesunds FK vs IK Start?
- Tofiko's model favours Aalesunds FK (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aalesunds FK vs IK Start kick off?
- Fri, 04 Sep 2026 17:00 GMT — Eliteserien.
- What is the Aalesunds FK vs IK Start head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.