Lillestrom SKvs
Molde FKLillestrom SK vs Molde FK Prediction, H2H & Form
Eliteserien 2026Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Molde FK48%
- Lillestrom SK 31%
- Draw 21%
- Molde FK 48%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Molde FK, rating it at 47.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Lillestrom SK won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Molde FK's last 5 produced 32 goals — 6.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Lillestrom SK's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Molde FK's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 40 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Lillestrom SK: LDDDL
Molde FK: WWWLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 40 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 1Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Molde FK vs Lillestrom SK | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Lillestrom SK vs Molde FK?
- Tofiko's model favours Molde FK (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Lillestrom SK vs Molde FK kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Eliteserien 2026.
- What is the Lillestrom SK vs Molde FK head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.