Aalesunds FK crestAalesunds FKvsTromso IL crestTromso IL

Aalesunds FK 2-6 Tromso IL — Result, H2H & Form

EliteserienSun, 02 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Tromso IL57%

  • Aalesunds FK 21%
  • Draw 21%
  • Tromso IL 57%
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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Tromso IL, rating it at 57.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Aalesunds FK won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Aalesunds FK's last 5 produced 36 goals — 7.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Tromso IL's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Aalesunds FK's games are very high-scoring at 7.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Aalesunds FK: LWDDL

Tromso IL: DLWDL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-02Aalesunds FK vs Tromso IL2–6
2026-05-25Tromso IL vs Aalesunds FK1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Aalesunds FK vs Tromso IL?
Tofiko's model favours Tromso IL (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Aalesunds FK vs Tromso IL kick off?
Sun, 02 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Eliteserien.
What is the Aalesunds FK vs Tromso IL head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

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