Aalesunds FKvs
ValerengaAalesunds FK 5-5 Valerenga — Result, H2H & Form
EliteserienSun, 16 Aug 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Valerenga45%
- Aalesunds FK 33%
- Draw 22%
- Valerenga 45%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Valerenga, rating it at 45.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Aalesunds FK won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Aalesunds FK's games are very high-scoring at 7.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Aalesunds FK: LWDDL
Valerenga: LWDLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 8.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Aalesunds FK vs Valerenga | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-16 | Valerenga vs Aalesunds FK | 6–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aalesunds FK vs Valerenga?
- Tofiko's model favours Valerenga (45% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Aalesunds FK vs Valerenga kick off?
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 12:30 GMT — Eliteserien.
- What is the Aalesunds FK vs Valerenga head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 8.50 goals per game.