Fredrikstad crestFredrikstadvsFK Bodo/Glimt crestFK Bodo/Glimt

Fredrikstad 1-2 FK Bodo/Glimt — Result, H2H & Form

EliteserienFri, 04 Sep 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FK Bodo/Glimt57%

  • Fredrikstad 22%
  • Draw 21%
  • FK Bodo/Glimt 57%
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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FK Bodo/Glimt, rating it at 56.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Fredrikstad won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • FK Bodo/Glimt's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 9 Sep 2026.

Fredrikstad: LWWWW

FK Bodo/Glimt: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 9 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-04Fredrikstad vs FK Bodo/Glimt1–2
2026-07-17FK Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Fredrikstad vs FK Bodo/Glimt?
Tofiko's model favours FK Bodo/Glimt (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Fredrikstad vs FK Bodo/Glimt kick off?
Fri, 04 Sep 2026 17:00 GMT — Eliteserien.
What is the Fredrikstad vs FK Bodo/Glimt head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legBodo/Glimt 1-0 Fredrikstad17 Jul 2026 →