Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Prediction, H2H & Form
Eliteserien 2026Sun, 13 Sep 2026 17:15 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Fredrikstad50%
- Fredrikstad 50%
- Draw 22%
- Sarpsborg 08 FF 28%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Fredrikstad, rating it at 49.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Fredrikstad did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Fredrikstad: WWWWW
Sarpsborg 08 FF: DWLLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Fredrikstad | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
- Tofiko's model favours Fredrikstad (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 17:15 GMT — Eliteserien 2026.
- What is the Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.