HamKamvs
Aalesunds FKHamKam vs Aalesunds FK Prediction, H2H & Stats
EliteserienSun, 09 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: HamKam 1–1 Aalesunds FK
Tofiko prediction
Model backs HamKam65%
- HamKam 65%
- Draw 19%
- Aalesunds FK 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick HamKam, rating it at 64.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and HamKam won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Aalesunds FK's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. HamKam's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 19.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Aalesunds FK's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
HamKam: DWLLL
Aalesunds FK: DLDLD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | HamKam vs Aalesunds FK | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Aalesunds FK vs HamKam | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win HamKam vs Aalesunds FK?
- Tofiko's model favours HamKam (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does HamKam vs Aalesunds FK kick off?
- Sun, 09 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Eliteserien.
- What is the HamKam vs Aalesunds FK head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.