HamKam vs Molde FK Prediction, H2H & Form
Eliteserien 2026Sun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Molde FK43%
- HamKam 35%
- Draw 22%
- Molde FK 43%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Molde FK, rating it at 43.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and HamKam did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Molde FK's last 5 produced 32 goals — 6.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. HamKam's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Molde FK's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
HamKam: DWLDW
Molde FK: WWWLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 1Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Molde FK vs HamKam | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win HamKam vs Molde FK?
- Tofiko's model favours Molde FK (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does HamKam vs Molde FK kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Eliteserien 2026.
- What is the HamKam vs Molde FK head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.