HamKam crestHamKamvsMolde FK crestMolde FK

HamKam vs Molde FK Prediction, H2H & Form

Eliteserien 2026Sun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Molde FK43%

  • HamKam 35%
  • Draw 22%
  • Molde FK 43%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Molde FK, rating it at 43.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and HamKam did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Molde FK's last 5 produced 32 goals — 6.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. HamKam's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Molde FK's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

HamKam: DWLDW

Molde FK: WWWLD

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 1Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-12Molde FK vs HamKam4–1

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FAQ

Who will win HamKam vs Molde FK?
Tofiko's model favours Molde FK (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does HamKam vs Molde FK kick off?
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Eliteserien 2026.
What is the HamKam vs Molde FK head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

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