Lillestrom SKvs
FredrikstadLillestrom SK 1-4 Fredrikstad — Result, H2H & Form
EliteserienSun, 30 Aug 2026 17:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lillestrom SK40%
- Lillestrom SK 40%
- Draw 24%
- Fredrikstad 36%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Lillestrom SK, rating it at 39.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Lillestrom SK won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 10 Sep 2026.
Lillestrom SK: WWLDD
Fredrikstad: LWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 10 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Lillestrom SK vs Fredrikstad | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom SK | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Lillestrom SK vs Fredrikstad?
- Tofiko's model favours Lillestrom SK (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Lillestrom SK vs Fredrikstad kick off?
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 17:15 GMT — Eliteserien.
- What is the Lillestrom SK vs Fredrikstad head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.