Lillestrom SKvs
ValerengaLillestrom SK 2-0 Valerenga — Result, H2H & Form
EliteserienSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lillestrom SK46%
- Lillestrom SK 46%
- Draw 22%
- Valerenga 32%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Lillestrom SK, rating it at 46.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Lillestrom SK won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Valerenga's last 5 produced 32 goals — 6.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Lillestrom SK's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Valerenga's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 14 Sep 2026.
Lillestrom SK: WWWLD
Valerenga: LDLWD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Lillestrom SK vs Valerenga | 2–0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Valerenga vs Lillestrom SK | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Lillestrom SK vs Valerenga?
- Tofiko's model favours Lillestrom SK (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Lillestrom SK vs Valerenga kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — Eliteserien.
- What is the Lillestrom SK vs Valerenga head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.