Molde FK crestMolde FKvsAalesunds FK crestAalesunds FK

Molde FK 1-2 Aalesunds FK — Result, H2H & Form

EliteserienSat, 19 Sep 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Molde FK77%

Tofiko77% / 14% / 9%
Market73% / 15% / 12%
  • Molde FK
  • Draw
  • Aalesunds FK

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Molde FK, rating it at 76.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Molde FK won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Molde FK's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Aalesunds FK's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Molde FK's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

Molde FK: LWWWW

Aalesunds FK: WDLWL

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-19Molde FK vs Aalesunds FK1–2
2026-07-11Aalesunds FK vs Molde FK2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Molde FK vs Aalesunds FK?
Tofiko's model favours Molde FK (77% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Molde FK vs Aalesunds FK kick off?
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 15:59 GMT — Eliteserien.
What is the Molde FK vs Aalesunds FK head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legAalesund 2-2 Molde11 Jul 2026 →