Molde FKvs
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde FK 3-3 Sarpsborg 08 FF — Result, H2H & Form
EliteserienSun, 02 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Molde FK59%
- Molde FK 59%
- Draw 19%
- Sarpsborg 08 FF 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Molde FK, rating it at 59.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Molde FK won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Molde FK's last 5 produced 32 goals — 6.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Sarpsborg 08 FF's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 18.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Molde FK's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Molde FK: WWWLD
Sarpsborg 08 FF: DWLLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Molde FK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Molde FK | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Molde FK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
- Tofiko's model favours Molde FK (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Molde FK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF kick off?
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Eliteserien.
- What is the Molde FK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.