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Molde FK crestMolde FKvsTromso IL crestTromso IL

Molde FK vs Tromso IL Prediction, H2H & Stats

EliteserienSun, 16 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Molde FK50%

Molde FK 50%
Draw 22%
Tromso IL 28%
  • Molde FK 50%
  • Draw 22%
  • Tromso IL 28%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Molde FK, rating it at 50.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Molde FK did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Tromso IL's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Molde FK: LDWLD

Tromso IL: WWLLW

Head-to-head

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-10Tromso IL vs Molde FK2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Molde FK vs Tromso IL?
Tofiko's model favours Molde FK (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Molde FK vs Tromso IL kick off?
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Eliteserien.
What is the Molde FK vs Tromso IL head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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