Molde FKvs
Tromso ILMolde FK 3-2 Tromso IL — Result, H2H & Form
EliteserienSun, 16 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Molde FK46%
- Molde FK 46%
- Draw 22%
- Tromso IL 32%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Molde FK, rating it at 46.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Molde FK won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Molde FK's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Tromso IL's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Molde FK's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 10 Sep 2026.
Molde FK: WWWWL
Tromso IL: LDLWD
Head-to-head
As of 10 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Molde FK vs Tromso IL | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Tromso IL vs Molde FK | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Molde FK vs Tromso IL?
- Tofiko's model favours Molde FK (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Molde FK vs Tromso IL kick off?
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Eliteserien.
- What is the Molde FK vs Tromso IL head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.