Molde FK vs Tromso IL Prediction, H2H & Stats
EliteserienSun, 16 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Molde FK50%
- Molde FK 50%
- Draw 22%
- Tromso IL 28%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Molde FK, rating it at 50.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Molde FK did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Tromso IL's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Molde FK: LDWLD
Tromso IL: WWLLW
Head-to-head
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Tromso IL vs Molde FK | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Molde FK vs Tromso IL?
- Tofiko's model favours Molde FK (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Molde FK vs Tromso IL kick off?
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Eliteserien.
- What is the Molde FK vs Tromso IL head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.