Fredrikstadvs
RosenborgFredrikstad vs Rosenborg Prediction, H2H & Form
Eliteserien 2026Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Fredrikstad48%
- Fredrikstad 48%
- Draw 24%
- Rosenborg 28%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Fredrikstad, rating it at 48.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Fredrikstad did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Rosenborg's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Fredrikstad's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Rosenborg's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 61 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Fredrikstad: WWWWW
Rosenborg: LWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 61 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 1Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
- Tofiko's model favours Fredrikstad (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg kick off?
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Eliteserien 2026.
- What is the Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.