Rosenborg crestRosenborgvsTromso IL crestTromso IL

Rosenborg vs Tromso IL Prediction, H2H & Form

EliteserienSat, 12 Sep 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rosenborg44%

  • Rosenborg 44%
  • Draw 23%
  • Tromso IL 33%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Rosenborg, rating it at 44.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Rosenborg did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Rosenborg's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Tromso IL's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Rosenborg's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 9 Sep 2026.

Rosenborg: WLWWW

Tromso IL: LDLWD

Head-to-head

As of 9 Sep 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-06Tromso IL vs Rosenborg2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Rosenborg vs Tromso IL?
Tofiko's model favours Rosenborg (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Rosenborg vs Tromso IL kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 15:59 GMT — Eliteserien.
What is the Rosenborg vs Tromso IL head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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