Sarpsborg 08 FFvs
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF 2-2 Valerenga — Result, H2H & Form
EliteserienSun, 06 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sarpsborg 08 FF54%
- Sarpsborg 08 FF 54%
- Draw 21%
- Valerenga 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Sarpsborg 08 FF, rating it at 54.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Sarpsborg 08 FF won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Valerenga's last 5 produced 32 goals — 6.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Sarpsborg 08 FF's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Valerenga's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 14 Sep 2026.
Sarpsborg 08 FF: DDDWL
Valerenga: LDLWD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Valerenga vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 3–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
- Tofiko's model favours Sarpsborg 08 FF (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga kick off?
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Eliteserien.
- What is the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.