Valerenga crestValerengavsTromso IL crestTromso IL

Valerenga vs Tromso IL Prediction, H2H & Form

Eliteserien 2026Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Tromso IL40%

  • Valerenga 36%
  • Draw 24%
  • Tromso IL 40%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Tromso IL, rating it at 40.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Valerenga did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Valerenga's last 5 produced 32 goals — 6.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Tromso IL's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Valerenga's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 61 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Valerenga: LWDLL

Tromso IL: DLWDL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 61 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 1Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-11Tromso IL vs Valerenga4–0

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FAQ

Who will win Valerenga vs Tromso IL?
Tofiko's model favours Tromso IL (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Valerenga vs Tromso IL kick off?
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Eliteserien 2026.
What is the Valerenga vs Tromso IL head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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