Valerengavs
FredrikstadValerenga vs Fredrikstad Prediction, H2H & Form
Eliteserien 2026Sun, 20 Sep 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Valerenga42%
- Valerenga 42%
- Draw 24%
- Fredrikstad 34%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Valerenga, rating it at 42.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Valerenga won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Valerenga's last 5 produced 32 goals — 6.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Fredrikstad's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Valerenga's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 19 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Valerenga: LWDLL
Fredrikstad: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 19 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Valerenga vs Fredrikstad | 3–1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Fredrikstad vs Valerenga | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?
- Tofiko's model favours Valerenga (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Valerenga vs Fredrikstad kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 12:30 GMT — Eliteserien 2026.
- What is the Valerenga vs Fredrikstad head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.