Valerengavs
HamKamValerenga 0-3 HamKam — Result, H2H & Form
EliteserienFri, 31 Jul 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Valerenga51%
- Valerenga 51%
- Draw 22%
- HamKam 27%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Valerenga, rating it at 50.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Valerenga won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Valerenga's last 5 produced 32 goals — 6.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. HamKam's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Valerenga's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Valerenga: LWDLL
HamKam: DWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Valerenga vs HamKam | 0–3 |
| 2026-05-08 | HamKam vs Valerenga | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Valerenga vs HamKam?
- Tofiko's model favours Valerenga (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Valerenga vs HamKam kick off?
- Fri, 31 Jul 2026 17:00 GMT — Eliteserien.
- What is the Valerenga vs HamKam head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.