Valerengavs
Molde FKValerenga 3-4 Molde FK — Result, H2H & Form
EliteserienSun, 30 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Molde FK44%
- Valerenga 35%
- Draw 21%
- Molde FK 44%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Molde FK, rating it at 43.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Valerenga won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Valerenga's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Valerenga: LWDLL
Molde FK: WWWLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 6.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Valerenga vs Molde FK | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | Molde FK vs Valerenga | 5–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Valerenga vs Molde FK?
- Tofiko's model favours Molde FK (44% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Valerenga vs Molde FK kick off?
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Eliteserien.
- What is the Valerenga vs Molde FK head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 6.50 goals per game.