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Viking crestVikingvsAalesunds FK crestAalesunds FK

Viking vs Aalesunds FK Prediction, H2H & Stats

Eliteserien 2026Sat, 29 Aug 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Viking84%

Viking 84%
Draw 12%
Aalesunds FK 4%
  • Viking 84%
  • Draw 12%
  • Aalesunds FK 4%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Viking, rating it at 83.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Viking did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 83.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Aalesunds FK's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Viking's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 12.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Aalesunds FK's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Viking: WWDWW

Aalesunds FK: DLDLD

Head-to-head

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-26Aalesunds FK vs Viking1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Viking vs Aalesunds FK?
Tofiko's model favours Viking (84% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Viking vs Aalesunds FK kick off?
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 15:59 GMT — Eliteserien 2026.
What is the Viking vs Aalesunds FK head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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