Viking crestVikingvsAalesunds FK crestAalesunds FK

Viking 2-1 Aalesunds FK — Result, H2H & Form

EliteserienSun, 30 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Viking83%

  • Viking 83%
  • Draw 12%
  • Aalesunds FK 5%
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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Viking, rating it at 83.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Viking won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 83.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Aalesunds FK's last 5 produced 36 goals — 7.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Viking's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 11.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Aalesunds FK's games are very high-scoring at 7.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Viking: WWDLW

Aalesunds FK: LWDDL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-30Viking vs Aalesunds FK2–1
2026-07-26Aalesunds FK vs Viking1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Viking vs Aalesunds FK?
Tofiko's model favours Viking (83% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Viking vs Aalesunds FK kick off?
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Eliteserien.
What is the Viking vs Aalesunds FK head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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