Viking vs Aalesunds FK Prediction, H2H & Stats
Eliteserien 2026Sat, 29 Aug 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Viking84%
- Viking 84%
- Draw 12%
- Aalesunds FK 4%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Viking, rating it at 83.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Viking did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 83.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Aalesunds FK's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Viking's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 12.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Aalesunds FK's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Viking: WWDWW
Aalesunds FK: DLDLD
Head-to-head
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Aalesunds FK vs Viking | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Viking vs Aalesunds FK?
- Tofiko's model favours Viking (84% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Viking vs Aalesunds FK kick off?
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 15:59 GMT — Eliteserien 2026.
- What is the Viking vs Aalesunds FK head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.