Kashiwa Reysol crestKashiwa ReysolvsNagoya Grampus crestNagoya Grampus

Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction, H2H & Form

J1 LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Kashiwa Reysol50%

Tofiko50% / 24% / 25%
Market60% / 21% / 18%
  • Kashiwa Reysol
  • Draw
  • Nagoya Grampus

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Remind me before kick-off

Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.

More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Kashiwa Reysol or draw75%
  • Draw or Nagoya Grampus50%
  • Kashiwa Reysol or Nagoya Grampus76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.545%
  • Under 2.555%

Both teams to score

  • Kashiwa Reysol, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Nagoya Grampus, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (248 games)53%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Kashiwa Reysol, rating it at 50.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Kashiwa Reysol won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Kashiwa Reysol's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Nagoya Grampus's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
  • Kashiwa Reysol's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026.

Kashiwa Reysol: WDWWL

Nagoya Grampus: WWLLL

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-11-08Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus1–0
2025-04-29Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
Tofiko's model favours Kashiwa Reysol (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus kick off?
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
What is the Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureNagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol15 May 2027 →