Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction, H2H & Form
J1 LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Kashiwa Reysol50%
- Kashiwa Reysol
- Draw
- Nagoya Grampus
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Kashiwa Reysol or draw75%
- Draw or Nagoya Grampus50%
- Kashiwa Reysol or Nagoya Grampus76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.545%
- Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
- Kashiwa Reysol, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Nagoya Grampus, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (248 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Kashiwa Reysol, rating it at 50.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Kashiwa Reysol won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Kashiwa Reysol's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Nagoya Grampus's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- Kashiwa Reysol's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Kashiwa Reysol: WDWWL
Nagoya Grampus: WWLLL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-29 | Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
- Tofiko's model favours Kashiwa Reysol (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.