Sanfrecce Hiroshimavs
Kyoto Sanga FCSanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC Prediction, H2H & Form
J1 LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 05:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sanfrecce Hiroshima61%
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Draw
- Kyoto Sanga FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw83%
- Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC39%
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Kyoto Sanga FC77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.547%
- Under 2.553%
Both teams to score
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Kyoto Sanga FC, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (248 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima, rating it at 60.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Kyoto Sanga FC's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima: WWWWW
Kyoto Sanga FC: WLDWW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Kyoto Sanga FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0–4 |
| 2025-09-12 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Kyoto Sanga FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 05:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.