Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
J1 LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sanfrecce Hiroshima55%
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 55%
- Draw 25%
- Kyoto Sanga FC 20%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima, rating it at 55.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima: WWLWW
Kyoto Sanga FC: LWLWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Kyoto Sanga FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0–4 |
| 2025-09-12 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Kyoto Sanga FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.