Shimizu S-Pulse crestShimizu S-PulsevsGamba Osaka crestGamba Osaka

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka Prediction, H2H & Form

J1 LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 04:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Shimizu S-Pulse44%

Tofiko44% / 24% / 32%
Market43% / 27% / 30%
  • Shimizu S-Pulse
  • Draw
  • Gamba Osaka

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Shimizu S-Pulse or draw68%
  • Draw or Gamba Osaka56%
  • Shimizu S-Pulse or Gamba Osaka76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.548%
  • Under 2.552%

Both teams to score

  • Shimizu S-Pulse, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Gamba Osaka, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (248 games)53%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Shimizu S-Pulse, rating it at 44.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Shimizu S-Pulse won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026.

Shimizu S-Pulse: WDWWW

Gamba Osaka: WLDWL

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 1.33Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-24Shimizu S-Pulse(N) vs Gamba Osaka1–2
2025-06-15Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka0–0
2025-03-08Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
Tofiko's model favours Shimizu S-Pulse (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka kick off?
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 04:00 GMT — J1 League.
What is the Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureGamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse29 May 2027 →