Shimizu S-Pulsevs
Gamba OsakaShimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka Prediction, H2H & Stats
J1 LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Gamba Osaka44%
- Shimizu S-Pulse 33%
- Draw 23%
- Gamba Osaka 44%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Gamba Osaka, rating it at 44.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Shimizu S-Pulse won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Gamba Osaka's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Shimizu S-Pulse: DWWLD
Gamba Osaka: WWLWD
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Shimizu S-Pulse(N) vs Gamba Osaka | 1–2 |
| 2025-06-15 | Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
- Tofiko's model favours Gamba Osaka (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.