Alaves crestAlavesvsAlmeria crestAlmeria

Alaves 1-0 Almeria — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2023-2024Sun, 05 Nov 2023 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Alaves49%

Tofiko49% / 24% / 27%
Market53% / 26% / 21%
  • Alaves
  • Draw
  • Almeria

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Alaves, rating it at 48.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Alaves won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 25 Sep 2026.

Alaves: DLLWW

Almeria: WWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 25 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-01-26Almeria vs Alaves0–3
2023-11-05Alaves vs Almeria1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Alaves vs Almeria?
Tofiko's model favours Alaves (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Alaves vs Almeria kick off?
Sun, 05 Nov 2023 13:00 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
What is the Alaves vs Almeria head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legAlmeria 0-3 Alaves26 Jan 2024 →