Rayo Vallecanovs
Athletic BilbaoRayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSat, 10 Oct 2026 12:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano35%
- Rayo Vallecano
- Draw
- Athletic Bilbao
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 35.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL
Athletic Bilbao: DDWWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–2 |
| 2024-05-25 | Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–1 |
| 2023-12-02 | Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano | 4–0 |
| 2023-03-05 | Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2022-09-17 | Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–2 |
| 2022-01-23 | Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–1 |
| 2021-09-21 | Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (35% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 12:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.