Real Madrid CF crestReal Madrid CFvsVillarreal CF crestVillarreal CF

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSat, 10 Oct 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Madrid CF64%

Tofiko64% / 22% / 14%
  • Real Madrid CF
  • Draw
  • Villarreal CF

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 64.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Villarreal CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Real Madrid CF: LWWWL

Villarreal CF: WWLLL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.20Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-24Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF0–2
2025-10-04Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF3–1
2025-03-15Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF1–2
2024-10-05Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF2–0
2024-05-19Villarreal vs Real Madrid4–4
2023-12-17Real Madrid vs Villarreal4–1
2023-04-08Real Madrid vs Villarreal2–3
2023-01-07Villarreal vs Real Madrid2–1
2022-02-12Villarreal vs Real Madrid0–0
2021-09-25Real Madrid vs Villarreal0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF kick off?
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureVillarreal vs Real Madrid7 Mar 2027 →