Real Madrid CFvs
Villarreal CFReal Madrid CF 1-0 Villarreal CF — Result, H2H & Form
La LigaSat, 10 Oct 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF63%
Tofiko63% / 20% / 17%
Market73% / 15% / 12%
- Real Madrid CF
- Draw
- Villarreal CF
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 62.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Real Madrid CF: WLWWW
Villarreal CF: LWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF | 0–2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF | 1–2 |
| 2024-10-05 | Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-19 | Villarreal vs Real Madrid | 4–4 |
| 2023-12-17 | Real Madrid vs Villarreal | 4–1 |
| 2023-04-08 | Real Madrid vs Villarreal | 2–3 |
| 2023-01-07 | Villarreal vs Real Madrid | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-12 | Villarreal vs Real Madrid | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.