Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSat, 10 Oct 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF64%
Tofiko64% / 22% / 14%
- Real Madrid CF
- Draw
- Villarreal CF
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 64.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Villarreal CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Real Madrid CF: LWWWL
Villarreal CF: WWLLL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF | 0–2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF | 1–2 |
| 2024-10-05 | Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-19 | Villarreal vs Real Madrid | 4–4 |
| 2023-12-17 | Real Madrid vs Villarreal | 4–1 |
| 2023-04-08 | Real Madrid vs Villarreal | 2–3 |
| 2023-01-07 | Villarreal vs Real Madrid | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-12 | Villarreal vs Real Madrid | 0–0 |
| 2021-09-25 | Real Madrid vs Villarreal | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.