Deportivo Alavesvs
Atletico MadridDeportivo Alaves 1-2 Atletico Madrid — Result, H2H & Form
La LigaSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid54%
Tofiko23% / 23% / 54%
Market21% / 26% / 54%
- Deportivo Alaves
- Draw
- Atletico Madrid
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 53.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Deportivo Alaves won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW
Atletico Madrid: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2026-01-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 0–0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-21 | Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 2–0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Atletico Madrid vs Alaves | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-02 | Atletico Madrid vs Alaves | 4–1 |
| 2021-09-25 | Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 1–0 |
| 2021-03-21 | Atletico Madrid vs Alaves | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:15 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.