Deportivo Alavesvs
Atletico MadridDeportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:15 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid55%
Tofiko19% / 26% / 55%
- Deportivo Alaves
- Draw
- Atletico Madrid
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 55.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Deportivo Alaves won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Deportivo Alaves: DLLWW
Atletico Madrid: WWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 0–0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-21 | Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 2–0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Atletico Madrid vs Alaves | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-02 | Atletico Madrid vs Alaves | 4–1 |
| 2021-09-25 | Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 1–0 |
| 2021-03-21 | Atletico Madrid vs Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2021-01-03 | Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:15 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.