Alaves crestAlavesvsEibar crestEibar

Alaves 2-1 Eibar — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2020-2021Wed, 23 Dec 2020 21:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Alaves50%

  • Alaves 50%
  • Draw 28%
  • Eibar 22%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Alaves, rating it at 49.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Alaves won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 4 Sep 2026.

Alaves: WDWDW

Eibar: WWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 4 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-18Deportivo Alaves vs SD Eibar1–1
2021-05-01Eibar vs Alaves3–0
2020-12-23Alaves vs Eibar2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Alaves vs Eibar?
Tofiko's model favours Alaves (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Alaves vs Eibar kick off?
Wed, 23 Dec 2020 21:00 GMT — La Liga 2020-2021.
What is the Alaves vs Eibar head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legEibar 3-0 Alaves1 May 2021 →