UD Las Palmasvs
Deportivo AlavesUD Las Palmas 2-2 Deportivo Alaves — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Fri, 14 Mar 2025 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Las Palmas40%
- UD Las Palmas 40%
- Draw 27%
- Deportivo Alaves 33%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks UD Las Palmas, rating it at 40.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and UD Las Palmas won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
UD Las Palmas: LWWWL
Deportivo Alaves: WDWDW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-14 | UD Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves | 2–2 |
| 2024-09-01 | Deportivo Alaves vs UD Las Palmas | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-26 | Las Palmas vs Alaves | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Alaves vs Las Palmas | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win UD Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Las Palmas (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does UD Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
- Fri, 14 Mar 2025 20:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the UD Las Palmas vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.