Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Eibar — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2020-2021Sat, 20 Mar 2021 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Athletic Bilbao63%
- Athletic Bilbao 63%
- Draw 24%
- Eibar 13%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 62.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 62.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Athletic Bilbao: WLLLL
Eibar: WWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Athletic Bilbao vs SD Eibar | 2–2 |
| 2021-03-20 | Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar | 1–1 |
| 2020-09-27 | Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar kick off?
- Sat, 20 Mar 2021 13:00 GMT — La Liga 2020-2021.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.