Athletic Bilbao crestAthletic BilbaovsEibar crestEibar

Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Eibar — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2020-2021Sat, 20 Mar 2021 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Athletic Bilbao63%

  • Athletic Bilbao 63%
  • Draw 24%
  • Eibar 13%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 62.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 62.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 4 Sep 2026.

Athletic Bilbao: WLLLL

Eibar: WWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 4 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-25Athletic Bilbao vs SD Eibar2–2
2021-03-20Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar1–1
2020-09-27Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar?
Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar kick off?
Sat, 20 Mar 2021 13:00 GMT — La Liga 2020-2021.
What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legEibar 1-2 Athletic Club27 Sept 2020 →