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Athletic Bilbao crestAthletic BilbaovsRCD Espanyol crestRCD Espanyol

Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Espanyol Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 22 Nov 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Athletic Bilbao55%

Athletic Bilbao 55%
Draw 28%
RCD Espanyol 17%
  • Athletic Bilbao 55%
  • Draw 28%
  • RCD Espanyol 17%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 54.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 3 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Athletic Bilbao's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Athletic Bilbao: WWDWW

RCD Espanyol: DDDWW

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 2.63Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-13RCD Espanyol vs Athletic Bilbao2–0
2025-12-22Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Espanyol1–2
2025-02-16RCD Espanyol vs Athletic Bilbao1–1
2024-10-19Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Espanyol4–1
2023-04-08Espanyol vs Athletic Bilbao1–2
2022-09-04Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol0–1
2022-02-07Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol2–1
2021-10-26Espanyol vs Athletic Bilbao1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Espanyol?
Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Espanyol kick off?
Sun, 22 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Espanyol head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.63 goals per game.

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