Real Madrid CF vs RC Celta de Vigo Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 22 Nov 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF71%
- Real Madrid CF 71%
- Draw 19%
- RC Celta de Vigo 9%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 71.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 3 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Madrid CF: DWWWW
RC Celta de Vigo: WWDWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid CF | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-07 | Real Madrid CF vs RC Celta de Vigo | 0–2 |
| 2025-05-04 | Real Madrid CF vs RC Celta de Vigo | 3–2 |
| 2024-10-19 | RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid CF | 1–2 |
| 2024-03-10 | Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo | 4–0 |
| 2023-08-25 | Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2023-04-22 | Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo | 2–0 |
| 2022-08-20 | Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid | 1–4 |
| 2022-04-02 | Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2021-09-12 | Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo | 5–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs RC Celta de Vigo?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs RC Celta de Vigo kick off?
- Sun, 22 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs RC Celta de Vigo head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.