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Real Madrid CF crestReal Madrid CFvsRC Celta de Vigo crestRC Celta de Vigo

Real Madrid CF vs RC Celta de Vigo Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 22 Nov 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Madrid CF71%

Real Madrid CF 71%
Draw 19%
RC Celta de Vigo 9%
  • Real Madrid CF 71%
  • Draw 19%
  • RC Celta de Vigo 9%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 71.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 3 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 19.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Real Madrid CF: DWWWW

RC Celta de Vigo: WWDWD

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-06RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid CF1–2
2025-12-07Real Madrid CF vs RC Celta de Vigo0–2
2025-05-04Real Madrid CF vs RC Celta de Vigo3–2
2024-10-19RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid CF1–2
2024-03-10Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo4–0
2023-08-25Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid0–1
2023-04-22Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo2–0
2022-08-20Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid1–4
2022-04-02Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid1–2
2021-09-12Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo5–2

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FAQ

Who will win Real Madrid CF vs RC Celta de Vigo?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Madrid CF vs RC Celta de Vigo kick off?
Sun, 22 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Madrid CF vs RC Celta de Vigo head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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