Athletic Bilbao crestAthletic BilbaovsGranada CF crestGranada CF

Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Granada CF — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2023-2024Fri, 19 Apr 2024 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Athletic Bilbao65%

  • Athletic Bilbao 65%
  • Draw 21%
  • Granada CF 13%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 65.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 1 of 6, with 3 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 21.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Athletic Bilbao: WLLLL

Granada CF: WWDWL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-04-19Athletic Bilbao vs Granada CF1–1
2023-12-11Granada CF vs Athletic Bilbao1–1
2022-05-10Granada CF vs Athletic Bilbao1–0
2021-11-26Athletic Bilbao vs Granada CF2–2
2021-03-07Athletic Bilbao vs Granada CF2–1
2020-09-12Granada CF vs Athletic Bilbao2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Granada CF?
Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Granada CF kick off?
Fri, 19 Apr 2024 19:00 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Granada CF head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

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