Athletic Bilbaovs
Real ValladolidAthletic Bilbao 7-1 Real Valladolid — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Sun, 23 Feb 2025 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Athletic Bilbao71%
- Athletic Bilbao 71%
- Draw 20%
- Real Valladolid 9%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 70.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 3 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Athletic Bilbao: WLLLL
Real Valladolid: DLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 83%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-23 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Valladolid | 7–1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Real Valladolid vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
| 2023-03-17 | Valladolid vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–3 |
| 2022-11-08 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valladolid | 3–0 |
| 2021-04-28 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valladolid | 2–2 |
| 2020-11-08 | Valladolid vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Real Valladolid?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Real Valladolid kick off?
- Sun, 23 Feb 2025 13:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Valladolid head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.