Atletico Madridvs
EibarAtletico Madrid 5-0 Eibar — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2020-2021Sun, 18 Apr 2021 14:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid74%
- Atletico Madrid 74%
- Draw 19%
- Eibar 7%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 73.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Atletico Madrid won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 73.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Atletico Madrid: WDWWL
Eibar: WWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-04-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Eibar | 5–0 |
| 2021-01-21 | Eibar vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Eibar?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (74% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atletico Madrid vs Eibar kick off?
- Sun, 18 Apr 2021 14:15 GMT — La Liga 2020-2021.
- What is the Atletico Madrid vs Eibar head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.