Atletico Madridvs
Real ValladolidAtletico Madrid 4-2 Real Valladolid — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Mon, 14 Apr 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid80%
- Atletico Madrid 80%
- Draw 15%
- Real Valladolid 5%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 80.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Atletico Madrid won all of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 15.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Atletico Madrid: WDWWL
Real Valladolid: DLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-14 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid | 4–2 |
| 2024-11-30 | Real Valladolid vs Atletico Madrid | 0–5 |
| 2023-04-30 | Valladolid vs Atletico Madrid | 2–5 |
| 2023-01-21 | Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid | 3–0 |
| 2021-05-22 | Valladolid vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2020-12-05 | Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (80% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid kick off?
- Mon, 14 Apr 2025 19:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.