Atletico Madrid crestAtletico MadridvsReal Valladolid crestReal Valladolid

Atletico Madrid 4-2 Real Valladolid — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2024-2025Mon, 14 Apr 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atletico Madrid80%

Tofiko80% / 15% / 5%
Market84% / 11% / 5%
  • Atletico Madrid
  • Draw
  • Real Valladolid

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 80.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Atletico Madrid won all of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

Atletico Madrid: WWWLL

Real Valladolid: DLWDL

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 4.33Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 83%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-04-14Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid4–2
2024-11-30Real Valladolid vs Atletico Madrid0–5
2023-04-30Valladolid vs Atletico Madrid2–5
2023-01-21Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid3–0
2021-05-22Valladolid vs Atletico Madrid1–2
2020-12-05Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid?
Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (80% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid kick off?
Mon, 14 Apr 2025 19:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
What is the Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legValladolid 0-5 Atletico Madrid30 Nov 2024 →