Barcelonavs
Granada CFBarcelona 3-3 Granada CF — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2023-2024Sun, 11 Feb 2024 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Barcelona82%
- Barcelona 82%
- Draw 14%
- Granada CF 5%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Barcelona, rating it at 81.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Barcelona won 1 of 6, with 4 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Barcelona's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Granada CF's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 13.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Barcelona: WWWWW
Granada CF: WWDWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 83%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-11 | Barcelona vs Granada CF | 3–3 |
| 2023-10-08 | Granada CF vs Barcelona | 2–2 |
| 2022-01-08 | Granada CF vs Barcelona | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-20 | Barcelona vs Granada CF | 1–1 |
| 2021-04-29 | Barcelona vs Granada CF | 1–2 |
| 2021-01-09 | Granada CF vs Barcelona | 0–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Barcelona vs Granada CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Barcelona (82% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Barcelona vs Granada CF kick off?
- Sun, 11 Feb 2024 20:00 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
- What is the Barcelona vs Granada CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 0 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.