CD Leganesvs
FC BarcelonaCD Leganes 0-1 FC Barcelona — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Sat, 12 Apr 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Barcelona66%
- CD Leganes 14%
- Draw 20%
- FC Barcelona 66%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 66.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and CD Leganes won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Barcelona's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. CD Leganes's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 19.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
CD Leganes: WWDDW
FC Barcelona: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | CD Leganes vs FC Barcelona | 0–1 |
| 2024-12-15 | FC Barcelona vs CD Leganes | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CD Leganes vs FC Barcelona?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CD Leganes vs FC Barcelona kick off?
- Sat, 12 Apr 2025 19:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the CD Leganes vs FC Barcelona head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.