Real Valladolidvs
FC BarcelonaReal Valladolid 1-2 FC Barcelona — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Sat, 03 May 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Barcelona78%
- Real Valladolid 6%
- Draw 16%
- FC Barcelona 78%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 78.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Real Valladolid won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. FC Barcelona's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Real Valladolid's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 15.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Real Valladolid: DLLWW
FC Barcelona: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Real Valladolid vs FC Barcelona | 1–2 |
| 2024-08-31 | FC Barcelona vs Real Valladolid | 7–0 |
| 2023-05-23 | Valladolid vs Barcelona | 3–1 |
| 2022-08-28 | Barcelona vs Valladolid | 4–0 |
| 2021-04-05 | Barcelona vs Valladolid | 1–0 |
| 2020-12-22 | Valladolid vs Barcelona | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Valladolid vs FC Barcelona?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Valladolid vs FC Barcelona kick off?
- Sat, 03 May 2025 19:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the Real Valladolid vs FC Barcelona head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.