Celta Vigovs
AlmeriaCelta Vigo 1-0 Almeria — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2023-2024Fri, 01 Mar 2024 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Celta Vigo60%
- Celta Vigo 60%
- Draw 21%
- Almeria 19%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Celta Vigo, rating it at 59.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Celta Vigo won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Celta Vigo: LLLDD
Almeria: LLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-01 | Celta Vigo vs Almeria | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-01 | Almeria vs Celta Vigo | 2–3 |
| 2023-04-02 | Celta Vigo vs Almeria | 2–2 |
| 2022-10-29 | Almeria vs Celta Vigo | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Celta Vigo vs Almeria?
- Tofiko's model favours Celta Vigo (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Celta Vigo vs Almeria kick off?
- Fri, 01 Mar 2024 20:00 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
- What is the Celta Vigo vs Almeria head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.