RC Celta de Vigo crestRC Celta de VigovsUD Las Palmas crestUD Las Palmas

RC Celta de Vigo 1-1 UD Las Palmas — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2024-2025Mon, 31 Mar 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RC Celta de Vigo57%

  • RC Celta de Vigo 57%
  • Draw 24%
  • UD Las Palmas 19%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick RC Celta de Vigo, rating it at 56.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and RC Celta de Vigo won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

RC Celta de Vigo: LLLDD

UD Las Palmas: LWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-31RC Celta de Vigo vs UD Las Palmas1–1
2024-10-05UD Las Palmas vs RC Celta de Vigo0–1
2024-04-20Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas4–1
2023-10-02Las Palmas vs Celta Vigo2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win RC Celta de Vigo vs UD Las Palmas?
Tofiko's model favours RC Celta de Vigo (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does RC Celta de Vigo vs UD Las Palmas kick off?
Mon, 31 Mar 2025 19:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
What is the RC Celta de Vigo vs UD Las Palmas head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

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