Eibarvs
BarcelonaEibar 0-1 Barcelona — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2020-2021Sat, 22 May 2021 15:59 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Barcelona71%
- Eibar 10%
- Draw 19%
- Barcelona 71%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Barcelona, rating it at 70.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Eibar won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 70.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Barcelona's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Eibar's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 19.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Eibar: WWLDW
Barcelona: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-22 | Eibar vs Barcelona | 0–1 |
| 2020-12-29 | Barcelona vs Eibar | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Eibar vs Barcelona?
- Tofiko's model favours Barcelona (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Eibar vs Barcelona kick off?
- Sat, 22 May 2021 15:59 GMT — La Liga 2020-2021.
- What is the Eibar vs Barcelona head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.