Eibarvs
VillarrealEibar 1-3 Villarreal — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2020-2021Sun, 14 Mar 2021 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Villarreal59%
- Eibar 18%
- Draw 23%
- Villarreal 59%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Villarreal, rating it at 59.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Eibar won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Eibar: WWLDW
Villarreal: LDDWW
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-14 | Eibar vs Villarreal | 1–3 |
| 2020-09-19 | Villarreal vs Eibar | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Eibar vs Villarreal?
- Tofiko's model favours Villarreal (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Eibar vs Villarreal kick off?
- Sun, 14 Mar 2021 17:30 GMT — La Liga 2020-2021.
- What is the Eibar vs Villarreal head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.