Elchevs
AlmeriaElche 1-1 Almeria — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2022-2023Mon, 22 Aug 2022 18:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Elche47%
- Elche
- Draw
- Almeria
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Elche, rating it at 47.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Elche won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Elche's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Almeria's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Elche's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 25 Sep 2026.
Elche: WLDLL
Almeria: WWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 25 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-02 | Almeria vs Elche | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-22 | Elche vs Almeria | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Elche vs Almeria?
- Tofiko's model favours Elche (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Elche vs Almeria kick off?
- Mon, 22 Aug 2022 18:00 GMT — La Liga 2022-2023.
- What is the Elche vs Almeria head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.