Elche crestElchevsValladolid crestValladolid

Elche 1-1 Valladolid — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2022-2023Sat, 11 Mar 2023 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Elche57%

Tofiko57% / 24% / 19%
Market35% / 29% / 36%
  • Elche
  • Draw
  • Valladolid

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Elche, rating it at 57.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Elche won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Elche's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Valladolid's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Elche's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 25 Sep 2026.

Elche: WLDLL

Valladolid: DLWDL

Head-to-head

As of 25 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-03-11Elche vs Valladolid1–1
2022-11-05Valladolid vs Elche2–1
2021-04-21Elche vs Valladolid1–1
2021-01-19Valladolid vs Elche2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Elche vs Valladolid?
Tofiko's model favours Elche (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Elche vs Valladolid kick off?
Sat, 11 Mar 2023 15:15 GMT — La Liga 2022-2023.
What is the Elche vs Valladolid head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legValladolid 2-1 Elche5 Nov 2022 →