Elchevs
ValladolidElche 1-1 Valladolid — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2022-2023Sat, 11 Mar 2023 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Elche57%
- Elche 57%
- Draw 24%
- Valladolid 19%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Elche, rating it at 57.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Elche won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Elche: LLDWD
Valladolid: DLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-11 | Elche vs Valladolid | 1–1 |
| 2022-11-05 | Valladolid vs Elche | 2–1 |
| 2021-04-21 | Elche vs Valladolid | 1–1 |
| 2021-01-19 | Valladolid vs Elche | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Elche vs Valladolid?
- Tofiko's model favours Elche (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Elche vs Valladolid kick off?
- Sat, 11 Mar 2023 15:15 GMT — La Liga 2022-2023.
- What is the Elche vs Valladolid head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.