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Malaga CF crestMalaga CFvsUD Las Palmas crestUD Las Palmas

Malaga CF vs UD Las Palmas Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spanish Segunda DivisionWed, 10 Jun 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Malaga CF 11 UD Las Palmas

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Malaga CF54%

Malaga CF 54%
Draw 26%
UD Las Palmas 20%
  • Malaga CF 54%
  • Draw 26%
  • UD Las Palmas 20%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Malaga CF, rating it at 53.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Malaga CF won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Malaga CF: DDWDD

UD Las Palmas: LWLLD

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-06-10Malaga CF vs UD Las Palmas1–1
2026-06-07UD Las Palmas vs Malaga CF0–1
2026-04-11Malaga CF vs UD Las Palmas2–0
2025-08-31UD Las Palmas vs Malaga CF0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Malaga CF vs UD Las Palmas?
Tofiko's model favours Malaga CF (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Malaga CF vs UD Las Palmas kick off?
Wed, 10 Jun 2026 19:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the Malaga CF vs UD Las Palmas head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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