Malaga CF vs UD Las Palmas Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionWed, 10 Jun 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Malaga CF 1–1 UD Las Palmas
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Malaga CF54%
- Malaga CF 54%
- Draw 26%
- UD Las Palmas 20%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Malaga CF, rating it at 53.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Malaga CF won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Malaga CF: DDWDD
UD Las Palmas: LWLLD
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Malaga CF vs UD Las Palmas | 1–1 |
| 2026-06-07 | UD Las Palmas vs Malaga CF | 0–1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Malaga CF vs UD Las Palmas | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-31 | UD Las Palmas vs Malaga CF | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Malaga CF vs UD Las Palmas?
- Tofiko's model favours Malaga CF (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Malaga CF vs UD Las Palmas kick off?
- Wed, 10 Jun 2026 19:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the Malaga CF vs UD Las Palmas head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.