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Malaga CF crestMalaga CFvsCD Leganes crestCD Leganes

Malaga CF vs CD Leganes Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 28 Mar 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Malaga CF 00 CD Leganes

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Malaga CF54%

Malaga CF 54%
Draw 24%
CD Leganes 22%
  • Malaga CF 54%
  • Draw 24%
  • CD Leganes 22%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Malaga CF, rating it at 53.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Malaga CF won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Malaga CF: DDWDD

CD Leganes: LLDDD

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-28Malaga CF vs CD Leganes0–0
2025-10-19CD Leganes vs Malaga CF2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Malaga CF vs CD Leganes?
Tofiko's model favours Malaga CF (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Malaga CF vs CD Leganes kick off?
Sat, 28 Mar 2026 17:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the Malaga CF vs CD Leganes head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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