Racing de Santander vs Real Valladolid Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 16 May 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Racing de Santander 4–1 Real Valladolid
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Racing de Santander71%
- Racing de Santander 71%
- Draw 20%
- Real Valladolid 10%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Racing de Santander, rating it at 70.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Racing de Santander won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 70.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Racing de Santander: LLLDW
Real Valladolid: LWDLL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Racing de Santander vs Real Valladolid | 4–1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Real Valladolid vs Racing de Santander | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Racing de Santander vs Real Valladolid?
- Tofiko's model favours Racing de Santander (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Racing de Santander vs Real Valladolid kick off?
- Sat, 16 May 2026 16:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the Racing de Santander vs Real Valladolid head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.